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12.11.2025 12:47 AM
Inflation Persists, Nerves Fade: U.S. Futures Slip Again

The American stock market began the week on a down note. Futures for the S&P 500 declined moderately on November 11, reflecting cautious investor sentiment. After a series of tumultuous trading days, the market seems to be pausing to digest several conflicting signals: local successes in the global economy, inflationary pressures in the U.S., and political instability. All of this creates a complex but intriguing trading backdrop—filled with nerves but also opportunities.

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Politics and Economy: A Temporary Respite

U.S. authorities have avoided a new crisis: Congress has extended government funding through January 30, temporarily easing the threat of a shutdown. However, this does not fully resolve the issue—the market recognizes that the budget conflict has merely been postponed. Investors remain skeptical about the stability of Washington's political landscape, which limits their appetite for risk.

At the macro level, attention is once again focused on inflation. Prices are rising more slowly than they did in summer, but remain too high for the Federal Reserve to comfortably lower rates. Inflationary pressures, particularly in the services sector, are ongoing sources of uncertainty. This makes any Fed decision critically sensitive to the market: a single statement from officials can significantly alter stock dynamics.

Looking Across the Ocean: China Helps Support Demand

Investors received a positive signal from Asia, where new car sales in China rose by 8.8%, reaching a ten-month high. The segment of energy-efficient and electric vehicles is growing especially quickly, serving as a key driver of industrial growth in Asia. This has strengthened hopes for stabilizing global demand.

However, the overall reaction in U.S. markets has been subdued. Traders are aware that local successes in China cannot neutralize internal American risks—especially given high inflation and an unstable political agenda.

Technology Sector: Contrasts and Overheating

Technology stocks have once again become a focal point, but in a mixed manner. The sector remains jittery after recent corrections, though some individual stocks are experiencing surges of optimism:

  • XPeng (XPEV) rose by over 16% following a successful "AI Day" presentation and upwardly revised target forecasts.
  • Sandisk (SNDK) gained nearly 12%, riding on optimism in the memory and semiconductor markets.
  • Palantir (PLTR) increased by 8.8% after sealing a partnership in AI marketing.

Yet on the flip side, several companies have suffered significant losses:

  • Centene (CNC) fell nearly 9% due to reported contract losses in Florida.
  • IonQ (IONQ) declined by 6.5%, despite news of a collaboration with a quantum center in Chicago.
  • Humana (HUM) lost 5.4% following a credit rating downgrade.

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This illustrates a key characteristic of the current market: selective optimism. Investors are no longer adopting the "buy everything" approach they once did. Now, the focus is on companies demonstrating genuine innovation, strong cash flow, and stable business models.

What to Expect Moving Forward

This week promises to be eventful. Major company reports are due from firms such as Walt Disney, Applied Materials, Cisco Systems, Nu Holdings, and GlobalFoundries. These releases will offer valuable insights into the state of key sectors—from entertainment and fintech to semiconductors and industrial automation.

Particular attention will be placed on technology and finance. The market is anticipating not just figures but also forecasts for 2026, especially on chip demand, AI advancements, and corporate spending on digital transformation.

Conclusion

The U.S. stock market is entering a new phase of restrained realism. Attention is shifting from growth at any cost to sustainability and asset quality. Investors are continuing to navigate between the fear of inflation and confidence in technological advancements.

On one hand, there are signs of slowing growth, political uncertainty, and high expenditure levels. On the other hand, there are robust reports from certain companies and an increasing global demand. This moment represents a transitional point where the market seeks balance.

American stocks are currently navigating a landscape of contradictions: cautious optimism intertwined with anxiety. It is often during such turning points that new growth leaders emerge.

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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